Tuesday, October 11, 2011

No Video, but Final NL Award Predictions

MVP
Justin Upton- The obvious choices would be Braun or Kemp. However, it’s hard to overlook what Upton did for the D-Backs in 2011. Of all NL candidates Upton was the only one who played defense, with a 7.7 UZR.  His offense held Arizona’s lineup together all season; and, he was the biggest reason his club made it to the playoffs (besides maybe Kirk Gibson).

Cy-Young
Clayton Kershaw- Kershaw is taking home the 2011 NL Triple Crown, with 248 strikeouts, a 2.28 ERA, and 21 wins. He also led the NL in WHIP at 0.977. Kershaw dominated all season (he was 4-0 against Tim Lincecum) and it would be a travesty for him to not take home the Cy-Young in 2011.

ROY
Craig Kimbrel- NL rookies put together strong seasons in 2011, but the voters like saves. Kimbrel had a lot of them, so much so that he led the National League with 46. He also had a 2.10 ERA. An absurd 127 strikeouts, in 77.0 innings (a 14.8 K/9), tops out the list of strong peripherals.

MOY
Kirk Gibson- No manager had a bigger impact on their club in 2011. Did anyone expect the D-Backs to compete? Gibson molded his team of misfits into a competitive powerhouse that was one hit away from an NLCS bid.

Saturday, October 1, 2011

2011 World Series

Now that I've got my AL and NL playoff previews up you can see I'm predicting a Milwaukee vs. Detroit World Series. This isn't too far from my preseason predictions (had Detroit losing to the Red Sox in the ALCS; predicted Milwaukee in the World Series).

As for a World Series prediction, I'm going with Milwaukee. The Brew Crew come in with the hot hand (which San Fran had last season) and they are the most complete team out of any in the playoffs. The pitching is strong, and the offense has huge punch. I just don't see anyone beating them. Plus, with this probably being Fielder's last season in Milwaukee (I put it at 85%) then I'm sure there's a sense of urgency to get this done. They've played as a strong team all season long, no reason to stop now.

Streamlining the NL

I want to get this up before the NL gets too far in the playoffs so my predictions seem legit and not based on what's already happened. So, that means it will be more a summary and less stats; and it will be written and not video (don't worry, I'm not done with the videos). Starting from worst chance to best here's my predictions:

4. St. Louis Cardinals
Offense: They've got Pujols, what more do you need? The lineup has a strong middle of Pujols/Berkman/Holliday, but the rest of the lineup is filled with good average guys who don't add a lot in the power or speed department.
Pitching: Lackluster rotation that was hurt a lot when Wainwright went down before the season even started. Dave Duncan keeps these guys going, but don't be fooled by their lucky numbers. Lack of an ace hurts.
Summary: The Cards capitalized on a stagnate Atlanta club to get into this postseason, but don't be fooled. They really have no chance and their lack of strong pitching makes them an easy elimination, for the well armed Phillies, in round 1.
Key Player: Any starting pitcher- someone has to stop these great staffs in the NL.

3. Arizona Diamondbacks
Offense: Not amazing, but decent. Everyone contributes in their own way. Justin Upton is having a fantastic season and don't count out the clout of Miguel Montero. Outside of those two they look average, but if you underestimate them it'll hurt.
Pitching: Really strong underrated rotation. Kennedy had an amazing season, Hudson is a strong number 2, and Saunders had a solid bounce back season. The 'pen is very strong too.
Summary: I love these guys, they really surprised me this season. I think it's a great group and I'd love to see big things, but I just don't think it'll happen this year. The pitching is great and the offense good, but they face the hot hand of the Brewers in round 1 and they're just better.
Key Player: Kirk Gibson- the manager has held this team together all season long and he can't sleep on it now.

2. Philadelphia Phillies
Offense: If their name isn't Victorino or Howard you can relax. They could use a boost from Chase Utley, but he's seemed on his last leg all season. They really aren't too threatening, and rely on power. OBP and speed is lackluster.
Pitching: Do I need to say anything? Their rotation is probably the best out of all playoff teams. The 'pen can be shaky early on, but the 8/9 guys are dominant.
Summary: The pitching is stellar, but the offense is old and lagging. San Francisco proved last October that Halladay isn't immortal and you can beat these guys. Philadelphia will have to power up the bats if they want to return to the World Series.
Key Player: Chase Utley- the pitching is awesome, but they need more contributions on offense. All these rotations are good and they can't rely on low scoring games; Utley has to get his bat back to snuff and put runs on the board.

1. Milwaukee Brewers
Offense: The best of the bunch. They can hurt you 1-9. Braun and Fielder are the best 3/4 combo amongst playoff teams and they will hurt you anyway they can. They have a little bit of everything in the lineup (OBP, speed, power, average); you just can't relax on these guys.
Pitching: I think this rotation can easily go toe-to-toe with the Phils. Gallardo, Greinke, and Marcum have all had good seasons; and, they were at their best down the stretch. The 8/9 combo of K-Rod and Axeford is stifling. They're underrated and a lack of proper preparation will get your lineup mowed down.
Summary: I find Milwaukee the class of the NL. They do everything well. The NL is a pitchers league, but you always need at least 1 run to win a game. Milwaukee is the only team that effectively combines hitting and pitching to create a dynamic and explosive ball club.
Key Player: Rickie Weeks- I honestly think he is the most important guy on this club. His play really sets the tone for the team, whether it's hitting a leadoff home run or turning a critical double play. They need him playing at full tilt to bring out their explosiveness on both sides of the ball.